Wednesday, September 2, 2009

QB's as considered by Trent Dilfer


D-Nasty, a loyal reader (one of the only ones left), found a nice article on ESPN.com where Trent Dilfer tells us what QB is the shit, and who is just shitty.

Before we get to the meat of it, allow Trent to explain why he done did this.

"fueled by frustration over pundits' repeated failures to acknowledge and appreciate the most difficult position in sports. After studying quarterbacks throughout my career and spending the past year evaluating the position daily, I believe a strong argument can be made that quarterback play today is as good as ever -- and possibly even better."

I tend to agree with him. Not since the late 90's have we seen the NFL so QB heavy.

"I brought up fantasy football in the beginning because the fantasy mindset has skewed perceptions, encouraging us to view quarterbacks through a statistical lens. We have lost perspective as a result. I purposely did not consult a single statistic in formulating the analysis that follows. My playoff notes, end-of-season notes and firsthand knowledge were my guide."

While I like this non looking at stats bit, its smelled a little to much like "I played the game, I never had good stats, but I have a superbowl ring, so I know good QB's."

"If you can take a five-step drop, keep your eyes downfield and deliver the ball while a 300-pound beast is bearing down on you in a big game, you deserve commendation and appreciation for what you do."

Agreed.

"There isn't a bad player on my list, regardless of category!"

Read: Please still talk to me if I end up being wrong about you! PLEASE!

and now to the rankings. He has Brady and Manning in the "ELITE" range, Bree's and Rivers next in the "SUPERSTARS" range, and next is Roethlisberger, McNabb, Eli Manning, Warner, and Hasselbeck in the "STARS" range.

While I don't think Eli and Warner should be here, he most def puts more emphasis on winning the post season than I do. The next tier is "Knocking on the Door," and number one on that list is our very own Tony Romo. Here is what Dilfer has to say about him.

"1. Tony Romo, Dallas

Analysis: Quickest release in the NFL … unparalleled ability to throw from multiple foot platforms, both intermediately and down the field … as artistic as any quarterback in the league, instinctively using all available resources (eye placement, shoulder nods, pump fakes, arm angles, you name it) … can make something out of nothing on a consistent basis … sometimes careless with the football, both in the pocket and through the air … limited big-game success."


That's pretty right on i suppose. Take a look at the article, its a nice read, and at the end the last group of "not bad players" is the NOT ENOUGH EVIDENCE range, where you will find Alex Smith, Travis Jackson, and JaMarcus. Not Enough Evidence my ass.

Thanks Nasty for bringing us this.

Bigs Fantasy Football Preview

Depending on who you are, and what kind of "fan" you are, Fantasy Football is either the greatest or the worst thing that has ever happened to watching the NFL. It either gives you a legit reason to care about almost every game on Sunday, or it makes you a head hunter, caring only about player that you have on your team, and not the real NFL team your watching.

Brown is one of the later guys who thinks fantasy sports is below him, and I'm one of the smucks who play in about 10 fantasy leagues every year. Its what you love about us, the hatered that boils right below the surface, after all, Indians are the new Jews.

Anyway, I consider myself a strong to quite strong fantasy footballer. I'm not going to say I'm the best, but last year I did win enough money to buy a new big screen TV from fantasy. I've already had one of my drafts this year (the one I care most about), and I have another tonight, and another sometime early next week, so i don't think I will be giving away to much of my strategy with this Fantasy Football Preview.

I will give you three categories, and a couple of tips at the end. The first categories is guys you want on your team, and I'll give you three types, A sure thing first rounder, a slight sleeper, and a super sleeper, for each position that matters.

Guys You Want.

Stud
QB - Aaron Rodgers Green Bay. - Outside of Brady, Rodgers is my number 2 QB tied with Brees. He was the 3rd best scorer in all of fantasy last year, and he lost nothing around him. His 2nd year as the starter will give him more confidence, and the defense is getting there to help Green Bay win some games this year.

Sleeper
Matt Hasselbeck - He is healthy for the first time in a couple of years, and more importantly, so is his receivers. The addition of T.J. Houshmandzadeh, who had over 90 catches last year (with no Carson Palmer btw), will give Seattle one hell of wr corp.

Super Sleeper
Marc Bulger STL - This guy was in the top 4 or QB just a few short years ago. His O line has to be better this year than last, and he has some speedy WR's to throw the ball to. I wouldn't suggest you drafting Bulger as your number 1, but he is worth a look in the late late rounds to take a flyer on.

RB
Stud - Matt Forte Chi - If your in a PPR league, Forte might be worth taking over AD, all other leagues he needs to be at worst the 4th player taken. He has a good offense that is conducive to running the ball, and with defenses having to respect Cutler as a QB way more than they did the Neck Beard, his running lanes will be even more open.

Sleeper - Ray Rice Bal - I don't really like to look to hard at pre season numbers, but Rice played in half a game last week and had over 100 combined rushing and receiving yards. Salty is an understatement. Rice is falling because a big name, Willis McGahee, is still on this team, but the number of carries that Rice gets will far overshadow Mr. Monkey Knee. IF you can get Rice as a 2 or a even a three, you will be happy at the end of year.

Super Sleeper - LeSean McCoy Phi - Here is a rookie, who has alot of talent, yet not alot of reps at the moment. The reason is he is behind Brian Westbrook, one of the best backs in all of football. Good news, Westbrook will get hurt at some point, and McCoy will play well when he does. So, if you draft Westbrook, you have his handcuff, if you don't, when westbrook goes down, you now have something that can help your team in a number of ways, with either playing time, or trade bait.

WR

Stud
Andre Johnson Randy Moss Calvin Johnson Larry Fitzgerald - Any 4 of those guys are worth a late first round early 2nd. Crap shoot.

Sleeper - Chad Ochocinco Cin - He is healthy, he is focused, he is the clear number one at the Bengels, and most important, Carson Palmer is healthy too.

Super Sleeper - Nate Washington Ten - Here is a guy you can grab at the end of most drafts that I beleive will be a solid performer this season. He comes over from Pit last season, where he was the number three WR behind Santonio Holms and Hines Ward, but he is now the best WR that Tenn has. Tenn has to play a division winning schedule this year, and if you think teams wont be keying on Chris Johnson and LenDale White, your wrong. With that said, Kerry Collins will have to pass more, leaving his best WR Washington, with the potential to have a great year. The reason this guy is falling in drafts is because he is hurt right now, and might miss a few regular season games due to his hamstring injury. While that is bad news, if you draft him late and stick on the end of your bench, you might just find a quality guy that can help you in the playoffs.

TE

Stud Jason Witten Dal - No more TO, Roy Williams hasn't proved he's can handle the #1 WR spot, Pat Crayton has a tendency to drop balls, Miles Austin, Sam Hurd, Kevin Ogletree are all unproven, but you know who is proven? Hard Hittin' Jason Witten. 100+ catches and 10 TD isn't out of the question.

Sleeper - Dustin Keller Jets - What is the greatest security blanket for a QB? TE. Whats a rookie QB really need to start a season? A security blanket. 1 + 1 = 2. See where I'm going.

Super Sleeper - Anthony Fasano Mia - He finds the endzone. Simple and plane.

A couple of draft notes.

Wait till the last 2 rounds to take a K and a Def. In my 12 team league, I did this and ended up with Nate Keading, the K from San Deigo, and the Green Bay Packers. The best kicker last year, Gostkowski, had 9.2 pts a game, Keading 7.9. Is 1.3 pts per game worth a pick a full 6 rounds higher? Same thing with the D. Green Bay isn't the top pick, but a middle pick, and i didn't have to use an 11th round pick on them.

Limit yourself to 2 handcuff players per team. Even better if you can just use one. It may seam like a good idea to take Sprolls, McCoy, Taylor, and Norwood, due to the fact that when one of those guys goes down, you have the back up, but all of those guys are backups for a reason. Most of them arn't even really sharing duites with the incumbent. Guys like Kevin Smith, Thomas Jones, Cedric Benson, Julius Jones, and Joseph Addai may not be "sexy" picks, but they are their teams number one backs. When your starter goes down, and all you have on your bench are handcuffs, you will be in a world of hurt, so keep your handcuffs to just 1 or 2.

IF you don't get an elite WR, scatter shoot and play the match ups. After the first 5 or 6 WR's there is a significant drop off. then after the next 5, there is even a bigger one. This means taking more WR's than you normally do, and playing the match ups and "who's hot" game. A corp of WR that you can get in round 5-12 could be a group like this: T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Braylon Edwards, Anthony Gonzalez, Ted Ginn Jr., Domenik Hixon, and Michael Jenkins. Now this group is a mix of week number one's (Housh, Edwards) strong number 2's (Gonzalez, Jenkins), and a guys with potential to either suck, or be very solid (Ginn, Hixon). Now you have some room to play around.

I hope this helps, and if ya got any questions, hit us up vie email.

Tuesday, September 1, 2009

College Footbal Weekly Round up - Preview

Its Time!

Its Time!

Its Vader College Football Time!

With the College Football season set to start in less than a weeks, its time for us here at TB&TB to get off our lazy asses and start talkin' some football.

Last week the AP top 25 came out, so I guess its time to bring back the Roundup. For those of you who didn't follow us last year, let me explain how the round up works. During the regular season, i will pop on most mondays and talk about the previous weekends slate of College Football games. I rank teams baised on how I think they look and give no credence to where they were ranked a week prior.

The rankings break down into 3 different categories, all wrestling terms, Like to hear it, here it goes.

Main Eventers - Teams with a legit shot at the BCS Championship. (Just fyi, last year the opening Main Eventers were Florida, USC, Oklahoma, Georgia, and Ohio State)

Mid Carders - Teams that are on the next plaato. (Last year, LSU, Texas, West Virgina, Missouri, Auburn)

Developmental Teams - While these guys don't really have a shot at the BCS title, they are teams to watch out for, either because they are good non-BCS teams, or teams on the rise. (Last year the list included Texas Tech, Alabama, Kansas, Penn State, Brigham Young)

So lets get to my list, shall we?

Main Eventers:
1 Florida. They have Seniors in the most important positions on both sides of the ball in Brandon Spikes (LB), and the Great Tim Teebow. Urban Meyer has committed to Florida for like 20 years or somesuch. The only thing to watch for is if this team can find a legit playmaker to replace Percy Harvin.

3 Oklahoma. I give the nod to the Sooners over the Longhorns based on a gut feeling. Its going to be hard to replace all those WR's, but Sam Bradford has one hell of a TE in Jermaine Gresham, and the defence did well against Florida in the title game last year.

2 Texas - With McCoy returning, and Jordan Shipley given another year of eligibility, the Longhorns should have an explosive offence this year. Their chance to run the table will be a stiff one, having to play Oklahoma at Jerry World, then travel to Missouri and Oklahoma State, and if they get through all of that, then the last game of the year is at Kyle Field, and if the Horns are undefeated, no matter the record of A&M, that won't be an easy game.

4 USC - The whole O is back, sands QB Mark Sanchez, but not to worry, his replacement is ......a freshmen? Matt Barkley will helm the men of Troy this season, but no worries they have like 15 stud running backs, ohh, and a pretty good defence lead by all American Taylor Mays.

Mid Carders (Guys just a step below).

6 Ohio State - They play at the shoe this year, week 2, vs USC. It will be a watershed game for the Buckeyes, if they the super stud Terrelle Pryor can get past USC, another undefeated season going into January is a real possibility.

9 Oklahoma State - This years Texas Tech? Maybe. They have talent, QB Zac Robinson, WR Dez Bryant, that will be playing on Sundays next year, but in a conference where they have to play Texas, OU, Tech, and a road game at upstart Baylor, and a then a non con where the first game of the year is hosting number 13 Georgia, will put anyteam to the test.

5 Alabama - I'm not as high on Alabama as some are, but they may be the best overall team in the SEC West. The douche John Parker Wilson is gone, so is Glenn Coffee, but Julio Jones, the nations best WR is still there, and they did return All-American LB Rolando McClain, and stud DT Terrence Cody on defence.

Development guys (teams to watch out for)

15 Georgia Tech - Yea, Paul Johnson runs a felxbone, trip option offense, but in a down ACC, Tech could win a lot of games.

23 Notre Dame - One thing is for certain, this team will be better than last year. How much better depends on the offensive line that will protect Jimmy Clausen. Last year Clausen spent too much time on his back. If they can keep him upright, the Oct. 17th game at USC might feature 2 undefeated top 10 teams.

24 Nebraska - Year 2 under Bill Poleni will have continued improvement for this once powerhouse. They made strides last year, but will have to breat in a new QB in Zac Lee. The defence is anchored by what might be the best DT in all of college football, Ndamukong Suh.

as the year goes on, I will bring you guys more and more college football. Like my Big Ups to all my haters upset of the week, and some BCS Busters next time. Stay hard.