After an extended weekend where I did very little other than eat, watch football, and make jokes with my family, I am so ready to get back to the world we live in, sports, and this child of love blood called the big and the brown.
We are going to start with the craziest of the two football pants party's that went down over this Holiday, college football. Whoa Nelly, look how Dirty Sanchez is! Lets recap over the last few weeks, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Oregon, Arizona St, Boston College, LSU and Kansas have all now lost, knocking most of them out of the champ race, well all but one. With the new BCS ranking out, let take a look at who can play for a National Championship. Here is a list of the only teams that still have a shot at this thing, and in order from best chance to wost.
Team(BCS #)(BCS Grade)
West Effin Virgina (2)(.9781) 10-1
I Give this team about an 90% chance of getting to the big one. All they have to do is beat Pitt this week. They should have no problem doing this, i mean come on, Pitt is coached by Dave Wanstat.
Missouri (1)(.9781) 11-1
All they have to do is beat Oklahoma on Sat down in San Antonio. Easier said than done. These teams played already once before, in Norman, and Oklahoma pulled away in the fourth quarter for the win. I like Chase "Grand Dragon" Daniels, and I think they can do it, but its not as easy a game as West Virgina. Chance to win 65%
If either of those guys loose, this is the team that will take its place.
Ohio State(3)(.9192) 11-1
Man, I hate this team, but watch them back into this game. They don't have to do a damn thing but root for Pitt and Oklahoma. Nobody can jump them, they have way to big a lead in the points, and they would be one of 3 teams with one loss.
If both top two teams loose, it will be Ohio State and one of these guys
Virgina Tech(6)(.7811) 10-2
Not the best of the 2 loss teams, that goes to Georgia, but it has the best path to get into the champ game. If the top 2 loose, and VT beats BC in the ACC champ game, they are already ahead of LSU, and the team they would be beat would be a more "quality win" than the LSU should they beat Tenn. I know its making your head hurt, but think of this, We could have a Ohio St vs Virgina Tech camp game. This would be apart of my personal hell. We would get ass whipped by the VT Shootings (a horrible thing that has no reason to be brought up when talking about football), Frank Beimers goiter, and absolutely NO PASSING AT ALL!! The only redeeming value of a VT vs OSU title game is watching the networks dance around the idea that the last time VT did this well was with Mike Vick, and Bennie Well's doing his best MoMo Claurett impressions.
LSU (7)(.7744) 10-2
I didn't think this team would make it till the end, but I didn't see them loosing to Arkansas. I guess never underestimate the new job for the coach and the playing a superstar (McFadden) combo. It makes sence when you look at it, but I really thought they would loose to Georgia at the SEC game. Ohh well. They way this team gets in is if Missu, WV, and VT all loose. Now if Georgia was in the SEC game, they would have enuf muster to pass VT with a win, but Tenn is too far down the polls to merit a jump if VT avenges a loss to BC.
If everybody above but OSU goes down, then not only will the bowls be all effed up, but these teams will then, and only then have a shot at going to aquatic dome.
Kansas Fighting Manginos (5)(.7918) 11-1
I don't think it fair either way with these guys. If everybody drops, then they are the only one loss team, but they wouldn't even be the Big 12 champ. But they do have a nice points lead over everybody else but Georgia, but Georgia has 2 losses.
USC (8)(.6926) 9-2
No Pac-10 champ game should = no National Champ game, but its USC and if they pound UCLA they could get some name recognition votes. I don't think they is any chance, but hey, they would at least have a Pac-10 championship, witch is more than Georgia or Kansas.
Oklahoma (8)(.6829) 10-2
This team is 12th in the computer polls. They would have to jump up 6-8 spots to have a shot at playing for the championship. Again they would be the Big 12 champ, and that is something they can hold over Kansas and Georgia. They would probley need USC to loose as well.
Georgia (4)(.8274) 10-2
The best of the 2 loss teams without a doubt in my mind, but because they can't win the SEC, they don't have any more games to keep in front of the teams right behind them. If Tenn wins over LSU, then we could easily have 3 SEC teams in the BSC games, therefore saying goodbye to Hawaii.
So I now give you what I think will happen, just for shits and giggles, and what bowl games we could see in the early days of 2008.
IF Missouri wins
BCS Championship Game
West Virgina (Big East Champs)
Missouri (Big 12 Champs)
USC (Pac 10 champ)
Ohio State (Big 10 champ)
Boston College (ACC Champ)
LSU (SEC Champ)
If Oklahoma Wins
West Virgina (Big East)
Ohio State (Big10)
Boston College (ACC)
Georgia (at large)
Hawaii (At large)
Kansas (At Large)
No I don't really know which one I would prefer. Missouri vs. WV would be more fun of a Champ game, but i would love to see Oklahoma get beat by a mid major again(Hawaii) and see Juice Williams and Illinois play USC. Either way its going be a crazy good college football Saturday next weekend.